Baseline Cost Model for Hydropower: Documentation (2025)

Publication Date:
January 28, 2026

Citation

Oladosu G.A. and Ma Y. (2026). Baseline Cost Model for Hydropower: Documentation (2025). ORNL/TM-2025/3733, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN. 10.2172/3014292

The Baseline Cost Model for Hydropower (BCMH) was developed by Oak Ridge National Laboratory (O’Connor, et al., 2015) using data for planned or active projects to support national-scale evaluation of hydropower costs. This report documents a major update of the BCMH, including new data and specifications. The report presents the background, data sources, summaries of the data sample, and a series of parametric models for estimating the initial capital cost (ICC) and the cost of operation and maintenance (O&M) of US hydropower projects. For the ICC, this report presents sub-models for evaluating the capital cost of four categories of hydropower projects ( non-powered dams (NPD), new stream-reach development (NSD), canal/conduits (Canal/Conduit), and pumped storage hydropower (PSH) ), and the potential cost of capacity expansion (CXP) and generator rewind (GRW) modifications to existing hydropower projects. While more sophisticated and bottom-up cost estimation techniques are necessary for specific investment decisions, the aggregate parametric models described in this report are useful for a rapid evaluation of potential US hydropower projects.

Science Themes

D.O.I.

10.2172/3014292

Related Records

Updated Baseline Cost Model for Hydropower 2025

The "Updated Baseline Cost Model (BCM) for Hydropower (2025)" is an empirical model for estimating the costs of US hydropower projects in six categories (Non-Powered Dam (NPD), New Stream Development (NSD), Canal/Conduit, Pumped Storage Hydro (PSH), Capacity Expansion, Generator Rewind). This update includes an equation for estimating operation and maintenance (O&M) costs, as well as confidence interval calculations for the estimates.

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